Yellow fever immunisation required for Asian, African entry into Guyana

first_imgFollowing the recent outbreak of yellow fever in Angola, several countries have imposed the requirements for vaccination against the disease for travel 10 days prior to arrival.Guyana, as a part of the Latin American region with risk of yellow fever is listed as one of the countries whose residents would be required to be immunised and issued with a yellow fever certificate prior to travel.With the presence of the vector that transmits yellow fever and an uncertain “salvatic” environment in the hinterlands, it is advisable that persons travelling from countries listed as endemic for yellow fever (mainly in Africa and Asia) should also be in possession of a valid International Certificate of Vaccination or prophylaxis on arrival in Guyana.The countries listed as endemic are mainly from the African continent and does not include countries in North America, Europe, Central America and the Caribbean.Yellow fever is a viral infection transmitted by a bite from infected mosquitoes, most commonly found in parts of South America and Africa. When transmitted to humans, the yellow fever virus can damage the liver and other internal organs and be potentially fatal.There is no specific treatment for yellow fever, but the symptoms can be treated while your body fights the virus. Headache, high temperature and muscle pain can be treated using pain relievers such as paracetamol or ibuprofen. Infected persons are urged also to drink plenty of fluids to avoid dehydration.Other symptoms of yellow fever include jaundice, nausea, vomiting and fatigue.Yellow fever kills 30,000 people globally each year. Yellow fever vaccination is typically administered only in areas where the disease is endemic.For further clarification, persons can contact the Public Health Ministry on telephone number 226-1560 or visit their office located on Brickdam.last_img read more

Intolerance Grows for Skeptics of Consensus Science in Spite of Data

first_img(Visited 22 times, 1 visits today)FacebookTwitterPinterestSave分享0 If you question evolution or man-caused global warming, be prepared for a smear.  If you are a Christian, be prepared for hate.  But the skeptics may have the facts on their side.Bill Nye was at it again (see 8/26/2012), smearing creationists on MSNBC.com, arguing (again) that U.S. science is threatened by those who don’t embrace evolution.  He targeted Bible-believing Christians in particular.  According to AP reporter Dylan Lovan, “The man known to a generation of Americans as ‘The Science Guy’ is condemning efforts by some Christian groups to cast doubts on evolution and lawmakers who want to bring the Bible into science classrooms.”  No examples were cited: only the vague fear that “Nye, 56, also decried efforts in recent years by lawmakers and school boards in some states to present Bible stories as an alternative to evolution in public schools.”   Aside from the fact that academic freedom laws try to allow scientific criticisms of Darwin in science class, not the Bible, the article refers to Christian as believers in the Genesis account, ignoring the fact that many Jews and Muslims do also.  While strongly urging Christians to “question your beliefs,” Bill Nye appears unready to question his own.  In a photo, Nye is shown shaking hands with President Obama.  Some of the comments after the article are filled with unmitigated vitriol against creationists.Live Science took aim at Fox News, a cable TV news service that advertises itself as “fair and balanced” because (unlike its competitors) it presents both conservative and liberal viewpoints.  The headline shouts, “Fox News Climate Coverage 93% Wrong, Report Finds.”  The evidence cited by reporter Stephanie Pappas, though, consisted of little more than circular reasoning: “The researchers found that Fox News and the Journal were consistently dismissive of the established scientific consensus that climate change is happening and that human activities are the main driver.”  This is akin to a syllogism: “a. Everybody who is somebody agrees with me.  b. You don’t agree with me.  c.  You are not somebody.”  Ignoring specifics, Pappas referrred to “established science— in this case, the overwhelming body of evidence that human-caused climate change is occurring.”A look at the literature, though, fails to establish it as established science.  As seen in leading journals, scientists – even though they agree with the consensus – are often the very ones pointing out flaws in their models and doubts about the sweeping conclusions.Recently, for instance, the Editors of Nature (19 Sept 2012) warned, “Better models are needed before exceptional events can be reliably linked to global warming.”  Tying visible effects to the theory require “enormous research effort,” they said, considering the political and economic fallout that may ensue from claims that particular events or threats (“event attribution”) are of man’s doing.  At a recent workshop, “some speakers questioned whether event attribution was possible at all.”   Here’s how indecisive the evidence is: “One critic argued that, given the insufficient observational data and the coarse and mathematically far-from-perfect climate models used to generate attribution claims, they are unjustifiably speculative, basically unverifiable and better not made at all,” they said.  “And even if event attribution were reliable, another speaker added, the notion that it is useful for any section of society is unproven.”  How does that jive with the certainty Stephanie Pappas exhibited?  The editors of Nature, certainly a pro-warming fountainhead, had more subdued advice: “when communicating their results, scientists must be open about shortcomings in the models used.”  The editorial generated some lively comments.Just a week earlier, in a letter to Nature Sept 13, two scientists (who agree with the consensus) noted causes for public skepticism of the climate alarmists.  “The public-image problem of current models stems partly from scientists’ failures to identify the limitations openly,” they said, suggesting that the public is often given bold pronouncements without proper scientific caution.  “It is important to distinguish between questions for which current models are useful as prediction engines and those for which the models merely probe possibilities. The role of science is to reflect on the plausibility and relevance of such possibilities.”  Memories of fraud seem to have faded into the background.It’s not even clear that warming is bad.  “Rather than kicking off the expected cycles of extinction, periods of warming in Earth’s history were accompanied by increased biodiversity, according to a report published this week,” Nature News wrote.  The article hedged its bets that human-caused warming could be worse.  Such reports of significant past warming, though, such as the inference about climate from the redwoods in northern Canada kimberlite (9/19/2012) make it difficult for skeptics to get worked up about what is going on now.  The researcher was actually surprised by what he found: “given that climate change is generally viewed as disruptive, Mayhew admits it was a ‘big surprise” to find that eras of warming were accompanied by increases in biodiversity.’”  His out was to say that the current warming is happening too fast for nature to cope.  By the time that can be proven, however, we will all be dead from old age.In another example of surprise, researchers studied the effects of global warming on migrating cormorants (Gienapp and Bregnballe, “Fitness Consequences of Timing of Migration and Breeding in Cormorants,” PLoS ONE 7(9): e46165. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0046165).  They didn’t find what they expected. They thought the birds would be disrupted by the climate shifts, but “the increasing selection pressure on timing seems to be unrelated to climate change as the climatic variables that were related to selection strength did not increase during the study period.”  They tossed the ball to previous papers in footnotes to allege that climate change has disrupted other organisms, but they did not find disruption in their own work.Researchers using a submarine in the North Sea expected to find methane reservoirs locked in ice to be coming loose as the climate warms, unleashing more of the  greenhouse gas that is more potent than CO2.  What they found, Science Daily reported, was that the submarine vents have been spewing out methane for centuries, long before the industrial revolution.  “[T]he fear,” therefore, “that the gas emanation is a consequence of the current rising sea temperature does not seem to apply.… the observed gas emanations are probably not caused by human influence.”Beneath the permafrost of Bylot Island in Canada’s arctic, dead leaves,  tree trunks and pollen tell of a time when a diverse forest thrived there, filled with willow, pine and spruce.  Can a frozen forest rise again?  Live Science reporter Jeanna Brynner investigated this fossil forest, said to be 2.6 to 3 million years old.  The actual wood is preserved, bearing tribute to a much warmer and pleasant past – a surprise, considering how the trees would have had to live in a land of the midnight sun and months of darkness.   Certainly man was not to blame for a significant climate shift.  And that’s not all: even farther north, “Fossil forests of a similar age have also been found on Ellesmere Island in the Canadian Arctic, where so-called ‘mummy trees’ were uncovered in the wake of a melting glacier.”  (See 3/17/2011.)What exactly, then, are pro-consensus advocates worried about?  Biblical creationists deny these fossil forests are millions of years old, a seemingly more reasonable interpretation of the evidence.  Darwin skeptics at school boards are not trying to insert religious texts into the science classroom; they generally want to get the lies and distortions about Darwin evolution corrected in textbooks, and mitigate the scare tactics in presentations of global warming.  Meanwhile, the U.S. remains the scientific leader in the world despite millions of his creationist bogeymen.  What precisely is Bill Nye worried about?By all accounts, the hard-core warmist alarmists and Darwin bulldogs are far left in their politics (8/22/2012, 7/26/2012) .  It’s just like leftists to divide people into us-vs-them and use fear and hate to denounce their critics.  It’s just like them to use glittering generalities to advance their view, and associate themselves with “science” (a.k.a. scientism), while sidestepping the uncooperative facts that undermine their position.  They don’t want a reasoned discussion; they want power.  Once you understand their propaganda tactics and how to refute them, your timidity will subside.  Then, learn how to use evidence and logic to put the proud boasters in their place.Project:  Encourage Bill Nye to take his message to Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Syria.last_img read more

2 militants killed in Anantnag gunfight

first_imgTwo Jaish-e-Mohammad (JeM) militants and one soldier have died in an ongoing operation in south Kashmir’s Anantnag.A fierce encounter started around 4 a.m. on Tuesday at Maharma village in Anantnag’s Bijbehara when a joint team of the Army, police and CRPF launched an operation against hiding militants.Two militants are believed dead and an operation is on to retrieve the bodies from the encounter site.One of the two militants killed in Anantnag, Sajad Ahmad, was owner of the car that was used to carry out a major suicide attack on a CRPF convoy on February 14, which left 40 jawans dead. He was also part of the JeM’s suicide squad.An official said one soldier, injured in the initial exchange of fire, was shifted to a Srinagar hospital, where he succumbed. “Two injured soldiers are undergoing treatment,” said the police.This is the second encounter in Anantnag in the past 24 hours. One militant and one Army officer were killed on Monday in Achabal area.last_img read more

SEA Games: PH adds silver to lawn bowls medal haul

first_imgLATEST STORIES LIST: Class, gov’t work suspensions during 30th SEA Games LOOK: Venues for 2019 SEA Games SEA Games in Calabarzon safe, secure – Solcom chief Catriona Gray spends Thanksgiving by preparing meals for people with illnesses SEA Games: PH’s Alisson Perticheto tops ice skating short program Brace for potentially devastating typhoon approaching PH – NDRRMC CEU Scorpions ‘overachieved’ despite loss to Cignal in finals UPLB exempted from SEA Games class suspension PH billiards team upbeat about gold medal chances in SEA Games PLAY LIST 03:07PH billiards team upbeat about gold medal chances in SEA Games05:25PH boxing team determined to deliver gold medals for PH00:45Onyok Velasco see bright future for PH boxing in Olympics00:50Trending Articles01:35Panelo suggests discounted SEA Games tickets for students02:49World-class track facilities installed at NCC for SEA Games03:04Filipino athletes share their expectations for 2019 SEA Games02:25PH women’s volleyball team motivated to deliver in front of hometown crowd01:27Filipino athletes get grand send-off ahead of SEA Games MOST READ Don’t miss out on the latest news and information. Read Next The Philippines also scored a gold in the men’s fours and a silver in the women’s fours events on Thursday.Brunei won the bronze in women’s triples.FEATURED STORIESSPORTSWATCH: Drones light up sky in final leg of SEA Games torch runSPORTSSEA Games: Philippines picks up 1st win in men’s water poloSPORTSMalditas save PH from shutout The Philippines got another medal from lawn bowls in the 2017 Southeast Asian Games, this time a silver in women’s triples event.Hazel Jagonoy, Rosita Bradborn, and Vilma Greenless settled for the silver, the country’s third podium finish in the sport, after losing to host Malaysia in the final. ADVERTISEMENT WATCH: Streetboys show off slick dance moves in Vhong Navarro’s wedding View commentslast_img read more

Ind vs Eng: England in driver’s seat on Day 1

first_imgIn reply to India’s first innings total of 224, England are 84 for no loss with skipper Andrew Strauss and Alastair Cook in the middle at stumps on Day One of the third Test at Edgbaston in Birmingham on Wednesday. Score | PhotosRead Day 2 match reportRead Day 3 match report – Cook scores a doubleRead Day 4 match reportEarlier put in to bat, India skipper Mahendra Singh Dhoni scored a resolute 77 helping India to 224 after being pushed to the wall with 92/4 on board.England got rid of India opener Virender Sehwag on the first ball of the match. A short ball of Stuart Broad rubbed past Sehwag’s gloves and wicketkeeper Matt Prior did the rest behind the stumps. India were down to 8/1 early in the innings.Post the first ball loss, opener Gautam Gambhir and Rahul Dravid, who opened for India in the Trent Bridge Test, batted with resolve. The two had put on 59 runs for the second wicket when Tim Bresnan decided to break their stand.Bresnan, who had been sticking to the off-stump line, brought the ball in and it did the damage, uprooting Gambhir’s stumps when he was on 38.Amazing! Sachin played that with virtually no foot movementMaster Blaster Sachin Tendulkar, who was looking iffy during his innings paid the price. He poked into a swinging ball off Stuart Broad and James Anderson made no mistake in the slips cordon. He fell for one and India were down to 60/3.Next it was the turn of the Mr Dependable to walk off the pitch. A cracking delivery from Bresnan rammed into Dravid’s stumps when he was on 22. India were down to 75/4 as Dravid fell on the last ball before lunch.advertisementImmediately into the second session, James Anderson struck again and Suresh Raina was seen walking back towards the pavilion on four.India were down to 92/5 with little hope for a revival. But the misery for India was far from over as soon Laxman too departed on a Bresnan ball. He tried to pull the ball past the boundary, but ended up giving a catch to Broad at long leg. He fell for 30 and India lost their sixth wicket on 100.Tail-ender Amit Mishra faced just 13 balls before giving up his wicket to Stuart Broad with keeper Prior performing the final honours behind the stumps. And India were reduced to 111/7.Finally, India skipper MS Dhoni and lower-order batsman Praveen Kumar revived the innings for the visitors. The two batted with caution thwarting the England attack.Just when the opposition bowlers were trying to wrap up the India innings, skipper Dhoni got into the zone and started dealing in boundaries and over-the-fence shots, delaying England plans.But, England bowlers went ahead with their Plan B and got rid of Dhoni’s partner Praveen Kumar and once again India were on the mat, though this time the situation was a little better as the score was 195/8. Praveen and Dhoni put on 84 runs for the 8th wicket with Dhoni leading the charge.Dhoni gradually upped the tempo while Ishant Sharma, more famous for his exploits with the ball, did what the top-order batsmen failed to do – hold the bat straight. At tea India were 205/8 with Dhoni batting on 61 and Ishant trying hard to stay in the middle.Post tea, however, the things turned sour for India and it was no other than Stuart Broad, who got rid of the man England wanted back in the pavilion.Dhoni wanted to whack Broad past the boundary, but failed and an edge got carried to his counterpart in the England camp, Andrew Strauss. Dhoni fell for 77 and India lost their ninth wicket on 224.Soon India innings came to an end on 224 all out when last man Ishant fell to Andreson.In reply, England got off to a good start with skipper Andrew Strauss and Alastair Cook taking the steam off India bowlers. Strauss raced to an easy half-century and the two were in the middle when stumps were drawn on 84 for no loss.last_img read more

a month agoMoritz Leitner praises Norwich away supporters after Burnley defeat

first_imgMoritz Leitner praises Norwich away supporters after Burnley defeatby Paul Vegasa month agoSend to a friendShare the loveNorwich City midfielder Moritz Leitner praised their away supporters, who stayed behind the team despite a 2-0 defeat to Burnley on Saturday.Burnly won thanks to Chris Wood’s early brace.”The support in every game since I’ve been here has been amazing,” he said. “We are really thankful, each and every player, even after a game like that they stayed behind us and tried to keep going. That’s amazing and it’s something special we have at this club. We will fight for them and I can only say thank you for the support in every minute of every game.”Leitner made a comeback from injury to feature at Turf Moor, replacing Alexander Tettey on the 12th minute, who had himself picked up a knock.”As a player, you always want to come back after injury but it’s not the most important thing,” he said. “The most important thing is the club, and today we had a bad day. We have to show a reaction.” About the authorPaul VegasShare the loveHave your saylast_img read more

Video: Ohio St’s D’Angelo Russell Shows Off His Ridiculous Dribbling Skills – With A Football

first_imgd'angelo Russell dribbles a football in his gym.d’angelo russell dribble footballD’Angelo Russell can handle a basketball pretty well. The former Ohio State star guard proved this dozens of times during his first-and-only season with the Buckeyes. The future NBA first-round pick had crazy highlight plays like this and this. It turns out that he’s nearly just as good with a football. Russell showed off his handling ability to former Kentucky guard Devin Booker while the two were working out together. Russell is expected to be a top-10 pick in the upcoming NBA Draft, which is set to take place on June 25.last_img read more

US consumer confidence rises in October to 17year high

first_imgWASHINGTON – American consumers are the most confident they’ve been in nearly 17 years, more good news for an already healthy economy.The Conference Board said Tuesday that its consumer confidence index hit 125.9 in October, up from a revised 120.6 in September and the highest reading since December 2000.The business research group’s index measures consumers’ assessment of current conditions and their outlook for the next six months. Both rose in October.A healthy job market contributed to the sunny mood. Unemployment is at a 16-year low 4.2 per cent. More than 36 per cent of survey respondents told the Conference Board that jobs were “plentiful” — highest share since mid-2001.The overall index hit bottom at 25.3 in February 2009 at the depths of the Great Recession before rebounding as the U.S. economy recovered.Economists monitor Americans’ confidence because consumer spending accounts for about 70 per cent of U.S. economic output. The economy grew at a healthy 3 per cent annual pace from July through September.The October confidence readings “suggest the economy will continue expanding at a solid pace for the remainder of the year,” Conference Board economist Lynn Franco said.last_img read more

Home sales in BC rise in October despite higher prices less choice

first_imgVANCOUVER – British Columbia’s housing market continues to power forward even though real estate experts say fewer properties are available for sale.The British Columbia Real Estate Association says there were 8,677 residential sales across the province in October, a leap of 19.3 per cent over the same period last year.The association says $6.25 billion changed hands during last month’s transactions, a 41.6 per cent increase over total sales value recorded in October 2016.The average residential price also climbed to $720,129, up 18.7 per cent over the same period last year.But association chief economist Cameron Muir says total active listings dipped 5.1 per cent in October and have declined 49 per cent over the last five years.He says the housing market is considered in relative balance when the number of sales is no more than 20 per cent higher than the number of active listings, but that ratio hit 31 per cent in October, and the lack of listings means sellers have the power to set their price.“A lack of supply in the resale market continues to put upward pressure on home prices in most BC regions,” Muir says.Since the start of 2017, the association says B.C. residential sales dollar volume is down 9.4 per cent to $63.8 billion, when compared with January to October last year.last_img read more

A Buyers And Sellers Guide To The MLB Trade Deadline

For most Major League Baseball teams, the trade deadline is a chance to step back and take stock of the franchise’s trajectory. Although only a small fraction of rumored deals actually end up happening, a team’s willingness to swap assets — as either a buyer or a seller — says a lot about where it is in the cycle between contending for a World Series and playing for the future.For a few teams, the choice has already been made. These are the clubs on the ends of the baseball spectrum: the bottom dwellers already committed to punting the present in order to stockpile young talent and the clear front-runners who can begin fine-tuning their playoff rosters in July.But the bulk of the league faces a fork in the road and doesn’t have the luxury of soul-searching with the trade deadline less than two weeks away. The decision to buy or sell is both critical — botched maneuvers can cripple a franchise for years — and further complicated by whether teams are getting a “rental” player (with an expiring contract) or someone who can help them for the next few years. But fear not, baseball general managers, we are here to help.A few years ago, my colleague Nate Silver and I developed a statistical framework for trade-deadline strategy: the Doyle Number (named for a certain pitcher the Detroit Tigers mortgaged their future to acquire at the 1987 deadline). Doyle represents the number of future wins a team should be willing to part with in exchange for adding an extra win of talent this season. So a Doyle of 1.00 means a team should be indifferent to buying or selling — a one-win improvement this year adds as much to its current World Series odds as a future win would add over the long term.1Specifically, its odds over the next six seasons. If its Doyle rises any higher, it should probably be buying (since wins this year are more valuable than future wins); any lower, and it should be selling.For example, the Cleveland Indians currently have a Doyle Number of 1.48. With a good (though not quite great) roster and decent (but not quite ironclad) division-series odds,2Doyle focuses on the division series rather than the wild-card playoff, because the latter’s single-elimination format truly is a crapshoot. they should probably be trying to add talent over the next few weeks to bolster their chances of returning to the World Series. Meanwhile, the New York Mets’ Doyle is 0.08; their injury-riddled talent base is mediocre, and they have very little shot at the division series, so they should be selling off anyone that isn’t nailed down.With those ground rules in place, here’s every team’s Doyle number as of July 16:3The only change I’ve made to the model for this season is that it now uses the future wins (per 162 games) implied by a team’s Elo rating to assess a team’s talent at the deadline, rather than its rest-of-season projected winning percentage from FanGraphs (which is slower to incorporate changes in a team’s play than Elo). Diamondbacks152084.641.83.31.0 Rays151583.535.72.50.9 Where each team stands at the deadlineTeams ranked by Doyle Number — how many future wins of talent a team should trade away to acquire 1 win this season Astros1591100.399.724.62.2 Talent is an estimate of a player’s current projected wins above replacement (WAR) per 162 games.Sources: RosterResource, Baseball-Reference.com, FanGraphs, Tangotiger Phillies143365.20.00.00.0 Blue Jays149478.84.30.20.1 TEAMDOYLEPLAYERPOSTALENTPLAYERTALENTDEADLINE INDEX Red Sox154489.869.28.31.6 The Doyle topples one of the most common perceptions of the deadline: The team most in need of a trade is the team that is one bat (or one arm) away from making a postseason run. By contrast, Doyle shows that the the teams who should be most willing to buy are the teams having the best seasons — not teams merely on the cusp of the playoffs. It’s a consequence of how random the MLB playoffs are: When even the best teams have long odds of winning, there’s practically no amount of talent a team can add that will cause its World Series probability to hit diminishing returns.This year, the top Doyle teams are the historically dominant Los Angeles Dodgers and Houston Astros — and, to a lesser extent, the Indians, Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox. With the possible exception of Houston, each team has at least one position where it can substantially improve, and Doyle indicates they should focus on shoring up those weaknesses in preparation for a World Series run.More interesting, however, are the clubs near the threshold between buying and selling. These are teams for whom there is less of a clear-cut direction to take — but some decision must be made, since any direction would add more total future championships than merely standing pat. One archetype for that group is the unexpected contender: Think of the Milwaukee Brewers, who find themselves in first place in the National League Central division despite a relatively unimpressive collection of talent. Milwaukee’s 1.26 Doyle suggests it should lean toward buying, since an improved core will become much more valuable in the postseason.The opposite model might be that of Milwaukee’s division rival, the Chicago Cubs: an expected favorite to whom Doyle gives a disappointingly low World Series probability. The defending champs are having a well-documented down year, and although they’re talented enough to have decent title odds if they make the playoffs, that’s far from guaranteed no matter what deadline moves they make. As a result, their 0.66 Doyle suggests they should lean toward punting on this season.The Cubs, however, don’t seem willing to give up just yet, trading for starter Jose Quintana last week. They weren’t necessarily wrong to do it, either; it’s important to remember that the Doyle Numbers above mostly apply to rental players. After I tweaked the model to account for the remaining years on Quintana’s contract,4Specifically, I gave Chicago 3.2 wins above replacement of talent this season — Quintana’s current talent level, per Tom Tango’s WAR projection system — with an annual half-win decline over each of the next three seasons. Quintana’s total four-year contribution to Chicago’s talent level (9.8 WAR) was then subtracted, spread evenly over the three seasons after his contract expires. Chicago’s Doyle for this specific trade became 1.31 — meaning it was probably worth it to give up top prospects in exchange for improving its talent base over multiple seasons.Those are exactly the kinds of extenuating circumstances a team in Chicago’s current situation needs in order to justify buying instead of selling. Any team with a Doyle north of 0.60 or so could probably do a similar calculation, which means 11 clubs — the Dodgers, Astros, Nationals, Red Sox, Indians, Brewers, Diamondbacks, Yankees, Rays, Cubs and Rockies — could reasonably call themselves buyers this season under the right circumstances.So we know who’s at the restaurant, and we know who’s on the menu — but what is everyone ordering? We can also use Doyle to build a trade deadline plan for each team, pairing them with players who fit a need and make sense given how realistic a club’s World Series chances are. For each of the 11 teams above, I gathered their current starters5The cutoff for pitchers was either the No. 4 slot in the rotation (for starters) or the setup man role (for relievers). and tracked how good each is this season, according to Tom Tango’s WARcel projections. I also pulled a list of deadline rental targets6So, expiring contracts only. from the excellent RosterResource.com, calculating their WAR talent as well. Multiplying a team’s Doyle Number by the difference in WAR talent between a rental target and its current starter at the same position, we came up with a “deadline index” that indicates how good of a match the player is for the team. After assigning duplicated targets to the team whose index for the player was highest, here are the best pairings between team needs and available players, according to Doyle: Red Sox1.6A. AvilaC+2.3C. Vazquez-0.24.0 Cubs0.7C. GomezLF+1.6K. Schwarber+0.01.1 Nationals155191.593.812.81.9 Royals149578.915.30.70.3 SELLERSELO RATINGEXP. WINS PER 162 GAMESDIV. SERIES ODDSWORLD SERIES ODDSDOYLE NUMBER Rangers152585.714.7%1.3%0.4 Pirates149679.25.50.30.1 Angels150280.45.20.30.1 Nationals1.9J. DysonLF+2.7C. Heisey-0.45.8 Expected wins are derived from the team’s current Elo rating.Source: FanGraphs Dodgers1598101.898.5%26.5%2.2 Cubs153587.822.02.30.7 Obviously, here are other layers of complexity involved in actually pulling off these deadline deals, including the quality of the trading team’s farm system, which of its existing players might return from injury before the playoffs, and the possibility of a contract extension with the player being acquired. But the general idea of Doyle is that it provides a flexible framework for trade-deadline decisions, based on how valuable it is to add or shed current talent with an eye on the future.Keep that in mind as we watch whatever deals unfold over the next couple of weeks. A team’s Doyle Number is a rough guideline, the starting point for thinking about trade possibilities. What happens after that is a combination of reading the market, picking the right moment to strike and then making endless phone calls until that forgettable middle reliever is finally yours.Check out our latest MLB predictions. SOLID BUYERSELO RATINGEXP. WINS PER 162 GAMESDIV. SERIES ODDSWORLD SERIES ODDSDOYLE NUMBER D-backs1.0C. GrandersonLF+2.0D. Descalso+0.02.0 Tigers148977.63.30.10.1 Mariners151383.19.30.60.3 Marlins149478.72.50.10.1 Athletics147875.21.30.00.0 CAUTIOUS BUYERSELO RATINGEXP. WINS PER 162 GAMESDIV. SERIES ODDSWORLD SERIES ODDSDOYLE NUMBER Reds146371.80.70.00.0 Padres144467.60.20.00.0 Astros2.2Y. DarvishSP+3.1M. Fiers+1.14.3 Yankees153186.934.13.30.9 Rockies0.6J. BruceRF+2.0G. Parra+0.21.1 Dodgers2.2A. ReedRP+1.9P. Baez+0.82.3 Indians154489.857.46.91.5 Indians1.5J.D. MartinezRF+2.4T. Naquin+0.33.1 White Sox146772.71.10.00.0 Cardinals150781.610.20.60.3 Orioles147474.33.10.10.1 Rays0.9C. MaybinLF+1.8S. Peterson+0.21.4 Braves147875.35.60.20.1 Brewers1.3Z. CozartSS+3.1O. Arcia+1.02.7 Doyle’s deadline shopping listThe top targets for each potential buyer based on deadline index, which is the difference in talent between an available ‘rental’ and the team’s current starter at his position, multiplied by the team’s Doyle Number Yankees0.9T. Frazier1B+2.3J. Choi+0.12.1 Rockies150480.927.71.50.6 TOP TARGETCURRENT STARTER FOR TARGET POSITION Giants147574.50.00.00.0 Mets150380.93.20.20.1 Twins147574.518.70.50.3 Brewers151282.864.2%4.3%1.3 read more